Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.170158 0.203459 0.240935 0.286144 0.339107 0.399091 0.472076
2025-03-09 0.124577 0.168153 0.222778 0.295880 0.390700 0.509030 0.667325
2025-03-16 0.092363 0.136816 0.197300 0.284795 0.407146 0.571015 0.805710
2025-03-23 0.076530 0.122356 0.189013 0.291684 0.444133 0.660020 0.986160
2025-03-30 0.064760 0.110775 0.181756 0.297234 0.477810 0.746034 1.170026
2025-04-06 0.053985 0.098338 0.170578 0.294156 0.496729 0.810886 1.328112
2025-04-13 0.045680 0.088231 0.161115 0.291688 0.515140 0.875493 1.490933
2025-04-20 0.040922 0.083340 0.159360 0.301286 0.553617 0.974808 1.717657
2025-04-27 0.039501 0.084269 0.167733 0.329231 0.625967 1.136135 2.060950
2025-05-04 0.036173 0.080881 0.167617 0.341570 0.671847 1.256561 2.345628
2025-05-11 0.031282 0.073435 0.158642 0.335929 0.683993 1.318800 2.534014
2025-05-18 0.026288 0.064840 0.146066 0.321432 0.677423 1.346163 2.661523
2025-05-25 0.021754 0.056558 0.133185 0.305189 0.666800 1.367358 2.784640
2025-06-01 0.020039 0.054514 0.133328 0.316205 0.712247 1.499694 3.130851
2025-06-08 0.016937 0.048463 0.123607 0.304462 0.709082 1.536728 3.295805
2025-06-15 0.015509 0.046353 0.122560 0.311795 0.747041 1.658966 3.639664
2025-06-22 0.014161 0.044182 0.121010 0.317697 0.782412 1.778962 3.989214
2025-06-29 0.012501 0.040797 0.115918 0.314424 0.796645 1.855760 4.255718
2025-07-06 0.011088 0.037818 0.111369 0.311798 0.811946 1.936014 4.536154
2025-07-13 0.010384 0.036821 0.111885 0.322007 0.858729 2.089296 4.986866
2025-07-20 0.010484 0.038363 0.119542 0.351722 0.955943 2.363419 5.724659
2025-07-27 0.009931 0.037684 0.120890 0.364840 1.013411 2.551881 6.285649
2025-08-03 0.008793 0.034807 0.115479 0.358844 1.021937 2.627862 6.597658